The opponent Bursted first

In the example, opposing Jackal used Burst I at 2.73 seconds and our Moran at 3.10. For Burst III, too, opposing Liberalio (3.87 seconds) was faster than our Scarlet (4.23 seconds).

The match was decided afterward

At 4.27 seconds three opponents fell, and at 4.90 seconds only Scarlet was left on our side. But both sides still had a Nikke with Indomitability (an effect that keeps a Nikke standing for a while even at 0 HP), so the fight went on. Opposing Maiden fell at 11.83 seconds and Liberalio at 13.40, and we won.

Bursting first alone does not tell you who wins. And if someone falls right after a Burst, you cannot assume that Burst was the cause.

How this example was chosen

The calculation at the time had 19 wins and 1 loss out of 20, and this is the middle win when wins are sorted by length. It does not mean a 95% real win rate. Recalculating with current default stats and the latest engine may give a different result.

Compare it yourself

Load the example lineup into the lab and check roles and positions first. Swap two positions or change one Nikke, then compare Burst times, who received Indomitability and who fell first — you will see why the result changes.